Tuesday, February 2, 2010

EUR/USD Visual Trading Update

Technical Indicators Notes:


Last time we said: "No real news on this front. Divergences all over but no change in the price movement and we are still waiting to se some kind of bullish structure to setup our entry level. All the bad news about Greece and the like are built in already and we need only a spark to ignite the incoming rebound."


The Elliott count is clear and points for a minor rebound. We decided to enter manually and to set the SL to the low of 5. The RSI and MACD are showing positive divergences for a while but just now we are getting some price action. Our preferred target for this correction is near the 1.4180 area where we can find a resistance area combination with the top of 4.


Charts Legend:

In Price Window:

Simple Moving Average (20): Green
Bollinger Bands (20,2): Violet
Support & Resistance price areas: Pink and Light Green areas
Trend lines and Channel Boundaries: Blue
Elliott Waves Counts: Black and Blue numbers


In Indicators Part:
RSI (10): Blue, STOC(5,3,3): Green, ATR(5): Blue
MACD (12,26,9): Blue, Signal: Red, Histogram: Green
Indicator trend lines and effects: Magenta


Signals:


Long: Above the Green line
Short: Below the Red line
Exit position: On crossing the Cyan line
SL in case of triggered level: Dashed Cyan Line



Banks Directory

ABN-AMRO BANK
16 Abdullah Haroon Road Saddar
Ph. 5687592-5687580-5687581
5687582 Fax: 5683432
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT BANK OF PAKISTAN
ST-4/3,Block-1,Scheme #36,
Gulistan-e-Jauhar
Ph. 8113695-8112801-8113617
AL-FAYSAL INVESTMENT BANK LTD.
First Floor,Block "A" F.T.C.
Shahrah-e-Faisal
Ph. 5660476-5660472-5660475-5660473 Fax: 5687130
AL-MEEZAN INVESTMENT BANK LTD.
4th Floor,Block C,F.T.C.Centre,
Shahrah-e-Faisal
Ph. 5650776-5650771-5650772-5650773 Fax: 5650763
ALBARAKA ISLAMIC BANK B.S.C. (E.C.)
Lakhani Centre,
I.I.Chundrigar Road
Ph. 2636265-2636261-2636262-2636263 Fax: 2635045
ALLIED BANK OF PAKISTAN LTD.
N.I.C.,Building,13th Floor,Abbasi Shaheed Road
Shahrah-e-Faisal
Ph. 5670379-5670371-5670372-5670373 Fax: 5683312
AMERICAN EXPRESS BANK LTD.
Shaheen Commercial Complex,Dr. Ziauddin Ahmed Road
I.I.Chundrigar Road
Ph. 2630349-2630343-2630344-2630345 Fax: 2631803
AMERICAN EXPRESS BANK LTD. TRAVEL RELATED
14th Floor,Shaheen Complex,Dr. Ziauddin Ahmed Road
I.I.Chundrigar Road
Ph. 2630279-2630260-2630261-2630262 Fax: 2624990
ANZ GRINDLAYS BANK
14 A,Block-6,
P.E.C.H.S.
Ph. 4538045-4538044-4538042
ANZ GRINDLAYS BANK
72 S,Block-2,
P.E.C.H.S.
Ph. 4550199-4553960-4553437
ANZ GRINDLAYS BANK
Hasan Chambers,DC-7,Block-7,Kehkashan,
Clifton
Ph. 5871892-5871891-5868744-5838602
ANZ GRINDLAYS BANK
Hotel Metropole,Abdullah Haroon Road
Saddar
Ph. 5660432-5660423-5671207-5671208
ANZ GRINDLAYS BANK
I.I.Chundrigar Road
Ph. 2412676-2412671-2412672-2412673
Fax: 2437102
ANZ GRINDLAYS BANK
Kandawalla Building,M.A.Jinnah Road
Saddar
Ph. 7210539-7210282-7226935
ANZ GRINDLAYS BANK
SB-9,Block 13-B,University Road
Gulshan-e-Iqbal
Ph. 4980906-4982213-4980907
ASKARI COMMERCIAL BANK LTD.
Saima Trade Towers
I.I.Chundrigar Road
Ph. 2630733-2630731 Fax: 2631176

Pakistan Open Market Rates in Pak Rupee (PKR

As on Tue, Feb 02 2010, 22:00 PST
Currency Symbol Buying Selling Charts
Australian Dollar AUD 75.1 76.1
Canadian Dollar CAD 80.6 81.6
Japanese Yen JPY 0.94 0.95
Saudi Riyal SAR 22.83 23.08
Singapore Dollar SGD 60.4 61.4
U.A.E Dirham AED 23.33 23.53

Making Profit in the Foreign Exchange Market

The currency fluctuate continuously due to reasons such as political, economical reasons, sometimes the changes could be extremely great, therefore, the Forex traders also can have the opportunity in among which makes a profit. For example, the Japanese Yen daily fluctuation is probably between 0.7% to 1.5%, Forex traders may make profit through buying and selling. All trading could be completed in a short time, the trading strategy could be carry up according to the market conditions, it is extremely flexible, even if the direction looks wrong, the lost could be stop immediately, the lost could reduce but profit potential is still great. Therefore, the Foreign Exchange margin trading is the most flexible and the most reliable investment method.
Foreign Exchange Margin Trading elementary knowledge
Currency name Commonly used currency code
Singapore dollar
Thai Bath
Swedish krona
Danish Krone
Norwegian krone
Spanish peseta
German Mark
US dollar
Euro
Japanese Yen
Pound
Swiss franc
Australian dollar
New Zealand Yuan
Canadian dollar
Hong Kong dollar
French franc
Italian lira
Belgian franc
SGD
THB
SEK
DKK
NOK
ESP
DEM
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP
CHF
AUD
NZD
CAD
HKD
FRF
ITL
BEF

Forex Basics

The following is an introduction to some of the basic terms and concepts used in forex trading.

Foreign Exchange : The simultaneous buying of one currency and selling of another.

Foreign Exchange Market : An informal network of trading relationships between the world's major banks and other market participants, sometimes referred to as the 'interbank' market. The foreign exchange market has no central clearinghouse or exchange, and is considered an over-the-counter (OTC) market.

Spot Market : Market for buying and selling currencies for settlement within two business days (the value date). USD/CAD = 1 day. Most dealers will automatically roll over your open positions, allowing you to hold a position for an indefinite period of time.

Rollover : The process whereby the settlement of a transaction is rolled forward to the next value date. The cost of this process is based on the interest rate differential between two currencies.

Exchange Rate : The value of one currency expressed in terms of another. For example, if the exchange rate for EUR/USD is 1.3200, 1 Euro is worth US$1.3200.

Currency Pair : The two currencies that make up an exchange rate. When one is bought, the other is sold, and vice versa.

Base Currency : The first currency in the pair.

Counter Currency : The second currency in the pair. Also known as the terms currency.

ISO Currency Codes :

USD = US Dollar
EUR = Euro
JPY = Japanese Yen
GBP = British Pound
CHF = Swiss Franc
CAD = Canadian Dollar
AUD = Australian Dollar
NZD = New Zealand Dollar

Currency Pair Terminology

EUR/USD = "Euro"
USD/JPY = "Dollar Yen"
GBP/USD = "Cable" or "Sterling"
USD/CHF = "Swissy"
USD/CAD = "Dollar Canada" (CAD referred to as the "Loonie")
AUD/USD = "Aussie Dollar"
NZD/USD = "Kiwi"

The following pairs might also be referred to by the following nicknames:

EUR/USD = "Fiber"
USD/JPY = "Gopher"
EUR/GBP = "Chunnel"
GBP/CHF = "Geppy"

Market Maker :A market maker makes a market for a particular financial instrument, providing liquidity and a two-way price quote. A market maker takes the opposite side of your trade.

Broker : A firm that matches buyers and sellers for a fee or a commission.

Counterparty : One of the participants in a transaction.

Sell Quote : The quote on the left is the price at which you can sell currency. (Also known as the bid price). e.g. For EUR/USD 1.3200/03, you can sell 1 Euro for US$1.3200.

Buy Quote : The quote on the right is the price at which you can buy currency. (Also known as the ask or offer price). e.g. For EUR/USD 1.3200/03, you can buy 1 Euro for US$1.3203.

Spread : The difference between the sell quote and the buy quote. If the quote for EUR/USD reads 1.3200/03, the spread is 3 pips. In order to break even, the currency must shift in your direction by an amount equal to the spread.

Pip : Price Interest Point. The smallest price increment a currency can make. Also known as points. e.g. 1 pip = 0.0001 for EUR/USD, or 0.01 for USD/JPY.

Pip Value : The value of a pip. 1 pip = $10 for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD & NZD/USD with 100k lots, or $1 per pip with 10k lots. To calculate the pip value of other currency pairs, use a pip value calculator .

Tick : Minimum change in price

Lot : The standard unit size of a transaction. Typically, one standard lot is equal to 100,000 units of the base currency, or 10,000 units for a mini.

Standard Account : Trading with standard lot sizes

Mini Account : Trading with mini lot sizes

Margin : The deposit required to open a position. A 1% margin requirement allows you to open a $100,000 position with a $1,000 deposit.

Leverage : The amount of times the value of your transaction exceeds your margin. e.g. 100:1 leverage implies a 1% margin.

Long Position : A position whereby the trader profits from an increase in price. (Buy low, sell high)

Short Position : A position whereby the trader profits from a decrease in price. (Sell high, buy low)

Market Order : An order at the current market price

Entry Order : An order that is executed when the price touches a pre-specified level

Limit Entry Order : An order to buy below the market or sell above the market at a pre-specified level, believing that the price will reverse direction from that point.

Stop-Entry Order : An order to buy above the market or sell below the market at a pre-specified level, believing that the price will continue in the same direction from that point.

Limit Order :An order to take profits at a pre-specified level

Stop-Loss Order : An order to limit losses at a pre-specified level

OCO Order : One Cancels Other. Two orders whereby if one is executed, the other is cancelled.

Manual Execution : The order is executed with human intervention.

Automatic Execution : The order is executed automatically by computer without human intervention or involvement.

Slippage : The difference in pips between the order price and the price the order is filled at.

Example Transaction : Assume you have a trading account of $20,000 and you have chosen to use 100:1 leverage on your account. The current quote for EUR/USD is 1.3225/28. You place a market order to buy 1 lot of 100,000 Euros at 1.3228, expecting the euro to strengthen against the dollar. At the same time you place a stop-loss order at 1.3203, and a limit order at 1.3328.

The value of this trade is $132,280 (100,000 * 1.3228) but because you are using 100:1 leverage, you only need to deposit 1% of the total, which is $1322.80 ($132,280 * 0.01).

The Euro strengthens against the dollar as expected, rising to 1.3328 where your limit order is reached. Your position is closed. You have made 100 pips.

Your total profit for this trade is $1,000 (100,000 * (1.3328 - 1.3228)), and the return on your investment is 75.6% ($1000/$1322.80).

Trade Summary :

Opening Balance: $20,000
Leverage: 100:1
Buy: 1 std lot EUR/USD @ 1.3228 = $132,280
Margin Requirement: $1322.80
Position Size: 6.6% of the account ($1322.80/$20,000)
Pip Value: 1 pip = $10
Stop-Loss: 25 pips (representing 1.25% of the account)
Limit: 100 pips
Risk/Reward Ratio: 4:1
Sell: 1 std lot EUR/USD @ 1.3328 = $133,280
Profit: $1,000
Return: 75.6% ($1,000/$1322.80)
Closing Balance: $21,000 (+5% gain)

FOREX RATES

Pakistan Open Market Forex Rates
Updated at : 2/2/2010 9:58 PM (PST)

Currency
Buying
Selling
Australian Dollar
75.10
76.10
Canadian Dollar
80.60
81.60
China Yuan
12.00
13.50
Euro
120.00
121.20
Japanese Yen
0.939
0.949
Saudi Riyal
22.83
23.08
U.A.E Dirham
23.33
23.53
UK Pound Sterling
138.00
139.00
US Dollar
86.10
86.35